Deutsche Bank har lavet en analyse, mange vil finde overraskende og provokerende: Verdens-økonomien rammes kun i beskedent omfang, selv om der ikke kommer en løsning på klimakrisen.
Uddrag fra Deutsche Bank:
One risk is that if we do nothing to mitigate climate change, the global
economic impact could be minimal even with much higher temperatures.
Studies suggest that by 2100 global growth might be only 7.2% lower per
capita than it would otherwise have been. This may reduce the incentive to
act. For context, a historically low 2% pa growth rate would lift global GDP
388% by 2100.
The IEA estimate that despite huge investment in renewables, the share of
fossil fuels in global primary energy demand will only fall from 81% to 74%
by 2040.