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“The eurozone economy has plunged back into a
severe decline in November amid renewed efforts
to quash the rising tide of COVID-19 infections. The
data add to the likelihood that the euro area will see
GDP contract again in the fourth quarter.
“The service sector has once again been the
hardest hit, especially consumer-facing and
hospitality businesses, though weakened demand
has also taken a toll on manufacturing.
“The factory sector nevertheless remains
something of a bright spot, with factories in
Germany continuing to show especially
encouraging resilience, led by a further surge in
demand.
“Firms across both manufacturing and services
have also become more optimistic about the year
ahead, largely reflecting growing hopes that the
recent encouraging news on vaccines will allow life
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to return to normal in the new year.
“Importantly, however, the further downturn of the
economy signalled for the fourth quarter represents
a major set-back to the region’s health and extends
the recovery period. After a 7.4% contraction of
GDP in 2020, we are expecting only a 3.7%
expansion in 2021.
