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“The November PMI surveys provide the first
postelection snapshot of the US economy, and makes for
very encouraging reading, though stronger economic
growth is quite literally coming at a price.
“First the good news: business activity across both
manufacturing and services rose in November at the
strongest rate since March 2015. The upturn
reflected a further strengthening of demand, which in
turn encouraged firms to take on staff at a rate not
previously seen since the survey began in 2009.
“However, the surge in demand and hiring has
pushed prices and wages higher. Average selling
prices for goods and services rose at the fastest rate
yet recorded by the survey, with shortages of
supplies also more widespread than at any time
previously reported.
“Firms are scrambling for inputs and workers to meet
the recent growth of demand, and to meet rising
future workloads. Expectations about the year ahead
have surged to the most optimistic for over six years,
reflecting the combination of a post-election lift to
confidence and encouraging news that vaccines may
allow a return to more normal business conditions in
the not too distant future.”
