Natixis siger, at benchmark-indeksene for Emerging Markets giver et forkert billede af selskaberne på de nye markeder. EM-indeksene overvægter f.eks. store, statsejede selskaber og undervægter de mere dynamisiske, højteknologiske og familieejede virksomheder. De familieejede virksomheder i Asien har en langt mere dynamisk ledelsesstruktur end virksomder på de udviklede markeder. Derfor lægger Natixis vægt på en individuel selektion af EM-selskaberne og ikke på at følge indeksene, og det sker i selskabets WCM-afdeling.
Emerging Markets: The Benchmark Is the Risk
WCM Investment Management sees things differently, believing the benchmarks are the risk. The shortcomings of a passive investment approach to emerging markets can be significant, according to Greg Ise, Portfolio Manager & Business Analyst at the California-based equity investment firm.
He points out that about 50% of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is allocated to financials, telecommunications, energy, basic materials, heavy industry, and utilities companies. “These sectors grow slower than their underlying economies and are dominated by SOEs. SOEs operate for the state, rather than for private shareholders’ benefit,” says Ise.
On the contrary, emerging markets may also offer some of the most dynamic and fastest-growing businesses across the globe – companies that are leapfrogging the developed world in digital business models and/or creating entirely new services and industries.
“Which would you rather own,” asks Ise, “an oversized, bloated Chinese bank being forced to lend for political reasons, or a privately owned, motivated technology company bringing hundreds of millions of people into the digital age?”
WCM believes their distinct, research-driven investment process is paramount to achieving sustainable excess return and mitigating downside risk. Specifically, WCM focuses on uncovering companies with growing competitive advantages (a positive “moat trajectory”), characterized by strong, adaptable corporate cultures aligned with that competitive advantage, and all supported by durable global tailwinds.
At the sector level, WCM’s Emerging Markets strategy looks very different from the benchmark. “A focus on innovation, long-term moat trajectory, and culture has led us to sectors like technology, healthcare, and consumer. I think those sectors are vastly underrepresented in the emerging markets indices, both in terms of their current, and more importantly, future relevance,” explains Ise.
Sector Allocation Difference of WCM Focused Emerging Markets Strategy
(as of September 30, 2020)
Source: WCM, MSCI, FactSet as of September 30, 2020
Megatrends and Growth Drivers
For the last twenty years, emerging market economies have substantially outgrown their developed market counterparts. Mike Tian, WCM Portfolio Manager & Business Analyst, points out that most observers expect more of the same for the foreseeable future, fueled by megatrends such as urbanization, digitalization, and the rise of the global middle class.
It is difficult to overstate the growth potential of emerging markets. For example, in just the last twenty years, more than a billion people in emerging markets have joined the ranks of the middle class, nearly two billion have moved into cities, and nearly three billion have accessed the internet for the first time.1
Superior Corporate Culture Search
For years, a critical pillar of WCM’s investment process has been its focus on culture and leadership (one part of which is governance). In the past, not many considered these factors, but nowadays they are receiving ever-increasing scrutiny due to the adoption of ESG frameworks by investors.
Unlike developed markets, where management teams are largely professional, and capital markets are well regulated, successful companies in developing economies tend to be run by entrepreneurs – or families – who leave a larger imprint on the culture, governance, and the ultimate success of their firms.
Ultimately, WCM believes emerging market equities continue to offer long-term investors some of the best growth opportunities in the world. Following a distinct, disciplined active investment strategy, such as WCM’s, may be a smarter route to take than benchmark-bound passive strategies.