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Finans

ISM US erhvervstillid for industrien storskuffer på ordreindgang, recessionsfrygten stiger

Morten W. Langer

mandag 03. juni 2024 kl. 19:26

ØU: Analytikerne have forventet en delscore for ordreindgangen ville stige til 49,4 mod 49,1 måneden tidligere. Den faktiske score kom ud på  45,4, atlså langt ringere.

Uddrag fra ISM World:

 

MANUFACTURING AT A GLANCE
May 2024

IndexSeries Index MaySeries Index AprPercentage Point ChangeDirectionRate of ChangeTrend* (Months)
Manufacturing PMI®48.749.2-0.5ContractingFaster2
New Orders45.449.1-3.7ContractingFaster2
Production50.251.3-1.1GrowingSlower3
Employment51.148.6+2.5GrowingFrom Contracting1
Supplier Deliveries48.948.90.0FasterSame3
Inventories47.948.2-0.3ContractingFaster16
Customers’ Inventories48.347.8+0.5Too LowSlower6
Prices57.060.9-3.9IncreasingSlower5
Backlog of Orders42.445.4-3.0ContractingFaster20
New Export Orders50.648.7+1.9GrowingFrom Contracting1
Imports51.151.9-0.8GrowingSlower5
OVERALL ECONOMYGrowingSlower49
Manufacturing SectorContractingFaster2
Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for the New Orders, Production, Employment and Inventories indexes.
*Number of months moving in current direction.

COMMODITIES REPORTED UP/DOWN IN PRICE AND IN SHORT SUPPLY

Commodities Up in Price


Aluminum (6); Brass; Copper (2); Diesel Fuel (3); Electrical Components; Electronic Components; Labor — Temporary; Natural Gas; Ocean Freight; Plastic Resins (5); Solvents (2); Steel Fabrications; and Zinc (2).

Commodities Down in Price


Packaging Components; Steel; Steel — Carbon (2); Steel — Hot Rolled; and Steel — Scrap.

Commodities in Short Supply


Electrical Components (44); Electrical Equipment (3); Electronic Components (2); and Printed Circuit Board Assemblies (PCBA).

Note: The number of consecutive months the commodity is listed is indicated after each item.

 


MAY 2024 MANUFACTURING INDEX SUMMARIES


MANUFACTURING PMI®

The U.S. manufacturing sector contracted for the second consecutive month in May, as the Manufacturing PMI® registered 48.7 percent, down 0.5 percentage point compared to April’s reading of 49.2 percent. “After breaking a 16-month streak of contraction by expanding in March, the manufacturing sector has contracted the last two months, and at a faster rate in May. Two out of five subindexes that directly factor into the Manufacturing PMI® are in expansion territory, up from one in April. The New Orders Index moved deeper into contraction after one month of expansion in March. Of the six biggest manufacturing industries, two (Fabricated Metal Products; and Chemical Products) registered growth in May,” says Fiore. A reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing sector is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contracting.

A Manufacturing PMI® above 42.5 percent, over a period of time, generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. Therefore, the May Manufacturing PMI® indicates the overall economy grew for the 49th straight month after one month of contraction (April 2020). “The past relationship between the Manufacturing PMI® and the overall economy indicates that the May reading (48.7 percent) corresponds to a change of plus-1.7 percent in real gross domestic product (GDP) on an annualized basis,” says Fiore.

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