De asiatiske aktier faldt en smule tirsdag i forsøget på at find fodfæste oven på Evergrand-krisen. Der er frygt for, at krisen får global virkning, men foreløbig er reaktionen blevet begrænset. Alle venter på, hvad de kinesiske myndigheder gør. En asiatisk analytiker siger, at krisen ikke kan sammenlignes med Lehmans fald i 2008 forud for finanskrisen. Det globale marked vil snarere reagere på de signaler, som den amerikanske centralbank ventes at sende i morgen omkring en neddrosling af opkøbene (tapering).
Asia markets fight for footing as investors fret over Evergrande crisis
Asian stocks struggled to shake off contagion fears on Tuesday and selling pressure persisted amid concern that troubles at indebted developer China Evergrande (EGRNF) could ripple across the world economy, markets and financial system.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng hit a fresh 11-month low and was down 0.3% by midsession, with a early gains in banks and property stocks paring a little. Japan’s Nikkei returned from a market holiday with a drop of almost 2%.
Currency, commodity and bond markets steadied, but overall demand for riskier assets remained low especially as the Federal Reserve is expected to step closer to tapering on Wednesday.
European futures rose 0.5% in the Asia session. FTSE futures advanced 0.7% and S&P 500 futures climbed 0.6% a day after selling hit banks on both sides of the Atlantic and tipped the S&P 500 to its steepest fall in two months.
“For markets to bounce we need to see concrete actions from the authorities to stem any wide spread contagion,” said Dave Wang, a portfolio manager at Nuvest Capital in Singapore.
Though China is on holiday, and mainland markets closed, there was little evidence of that yet, with no mention of Evergrande’s troubles in major Chinese state media.
Evergrande, struggling for cash, owes $305 billion and investors are on edge at the risk a messy failure reverberates through China’s property sector and everything exposed to it – primarily banks and then the broader economy.
China’s yuan steadied in offshore trade to recoup some of the losses that sent it to a three-week low on Monday. Evergrande shares fell 4% as focus there shifts to Thursday when the company is due to make bond interest payments.
Australia’s stock market was also barely better than flat as iron ore miners BHP and Rio Tinto scraped from nine-month troughs plumbed on Monday. Copper hovered near a one-month low on demand fears. [MET/L]
“There is market caution,” said George Boubouras, head of research, at K2 Asset Management in Melbourne.
“However the profit and earnings cycle is far from a bear market,” he said. “Evergrande is a sentiment issue, no doubt. But no Lehman event … it will be addressed, bailed out or restructured if it becomes a notable mainland China problem.”
FED WATCH
The next few days present yet more tests, with the Federal Reserve concluding a two-day meeting on Wednesday and likely to offer some guidance on the tapering outlook and with Evergrande due to meet its bond interest payments on Thursday.
In the currency market, traders took solace from the relative calm in Hong Kong after Monday’s plunge.
The euro traded at $1.1730, after having touched a near-one-month low of $1.1700 while the safe-haven yen slipped to 109.57 yen to the dollar.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield crept up to 1.3277%, with moves capped as markets have an eye to the Fed.