Formue

Big tech: “Are we there yet?” – svar: Historisk går Nasdaq stærkt frem efter et “down year”

The Big Tech cohort (AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, TSLA, META & NVDA) has collectively shed ~$4.7 trillion of market cap during the course of 2022 – for comparison sake, that amount lost is larger than the current market cap of nearly every S&P GICS sector (Info Tech and Health Care the exceptions) — poetically, this ~$4.7trn figure roughly matches the amount of value lost by the entire Nasdaq Composite back in the dotcom bubble (~$4.6 trillion of Nasdaq Composite market cap lost peak to trough). (Pete Callahan, GIR)

After NASDAQ rain comes….

1. In January, after the 13 down years for NASDAQ back in 1972, the index was up an average of 5.1%. The win rate (up years/total years) was 69%, with the NASDAQ rebounding in 9 out of the 13 Januarys after the index posted a negative annual price return.

2. In the year after a down year for the NASDAQ, the index was up an average of 19.2%. The win rate was 77%

3. The NASDAQ has only been down for 2 straight years three times (1973-1974, 2000-2001 and 2001-2002). It has only been down for 3 consecutive years once (2000 – 2002).

(Data Trek)

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