Annonce

Log ud Log ind
Log ud Log ind
Finans

CPI: US forbrugerpriser understøtter to hurtige rentehop

Morten W. Langer

tirsdag 13. marts 2018 kl. 21:52

Uddrag fra Reuters.

Instant View: U.S. CPI slips slightly in February, as expected

The Labor Department said its Consumer Price Index rose 0.2 percent last month, in line with consensus forecasts, after jumping 0.5 percent in January. In the 12 months through February, the CPI rose 2.2 percent, also as expected and up from 2.1 percent in January, as the weak reading from last year dropped from the calculation.

KEY POINTS:

** U.S. February CPI rose 0.2 pct, in line with consensus 0.2 pct rise expected; without food & energy it rose 0.2 pct, also as expected

** U.S. Feb CPI year-over-year up 2.2 pct (consensus +2.2 percent), ex-food & energy up 1.8 pct (consensus +1.8 pct)

** Feb CPI energy +0.1 pct, gasoline -0.9 pct, new vehicles -0.5 pct

** Feb CPI food unchanged, housing +0.3 pct, owners’ equivalent rent of primary residence +0.2 pct

COMMENTS:

MICHAEL O’ROURKE, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, JONESTRADING, GREENWICH, CONNECTICUT

“The number was in line with expectations. Initially the stock market rallied and the Treasury market rallied. It’s an in-line number. I’m not sure why there’s equity market enthusiasm.”

AARON KOHLI, INTEREST RATE STRATEGIST, BMO CAPITAL MARKETS, NEW YORK

“It was a little bit weaker than consensus, not much so. A lot of that weakness actually came from some of the categories that had been very strong in the past, vehicle prices, medical care commodities, education, communication. There were some areas of outsized strength as well, motor vehicle insurance remained fairly strong but you had a continued bounce in apparel prices, which already last month were one of the strongest in 30 years.

“I think this is another very strong print for apparel, which essentially rescued core. All in all looking like its closer to a miss, not necessarily an outright one. It certainly presents some more difficult questions for the central bank if they look to embark on a more aggressive hiking cycle next week, what’s the end point for them? How do they expect to get inflation materially higher if they are already starting to see some signs of spotty weakness.”

DAVID KOTOK, CHAIRMAN OF CUMBERLAND ADVISORS, SARASOTA, FL

“We’ve had two great reports a week apart. Fabulous. We are in the sweetest of the sweet spots you can get and by my calculations when you look at models of the Phillips curve… you are in the most desirable place of employment and inflation that we have seen in the last 50-60 years. This is a combination which has the capacity to exist for several years before it begins to change in any dramatic way and we are in the middle of that several year period. It’s the sweetest spot for market agents, economic growth, stock prices and it can persist for quite some time. It takes an external shock of some type to derail or disturb this situation and it does not appear that one is in the offing.”

SAM BULLARD, SENIOR ECONOMIST, WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA

“That acceleration was what we have seen up to this report. There is firmness in the consumer price data but there is not that acceleration at least with the headline number. We did some acceleration in the core prices. Given this the major consumer number before the next FOMC meeting and economic projections, we are seeing some Fed officials have expressed some confidence that inflation would reach their 2 percent target in the medium term. This report with the core inflation’s three-month annualized rate (at 3.1 percent) should bolster that case. There remains upward pressure on core inflation at the moment. In a few more months, we should hit those transitory factors that provide more tailwind for higher inflation. This Feb CPI number supports recent comments from some Fed officials about inflation reaching its target. Rate hikes in March and June seem likely.“

 

 

Tilmeld dig vores gratis nyhedsbrev
ØU Top100 Finansvirksomhed

Få de vigtigste om bank, realkredit, forsikring, pension
Udkommer hver mandag.

Jeg giver samtykke til, at I sender mig mails med de seneste historier fra Økonomisk Ugebrev. Lejlighedsvis må I gerne sende mig gode tilbud og information om events. Samtidig accepterer jeg ØU’s Privatlivspolitik.

Du kan til enhver tid afmelde dig med et enkelt klik.

[postviewcount]

Jobannoncer

CEO for Rejsekort & Rejseplan A/S
Region H
Spændende og alsidig stilling som økonomi- og administrationschef
Region Hovedstaden
Finance/Business Controller til Anzet A/S
Region Sjælland
Dansk Sygeplejeråd søger digitalt indstillet økonomimedarbejder med erfaring i regnskabsprocessen fra A-Z
Region Hovedstaden
Medarbejder til tilsynet med markedet for kryptoaktiver og betalingstjenester
Region H
Økonom til tilsynet med realkreditinstitutter
Region H
Økonom til analyser af arbejdsmarkedet
Region H
Financial Controller til Process Integration ApS
Region Midt
Liftra ApS i Aalborg søger en Finance Controller med ”speciale” i Transfer Pricing
Region Nordjylland
Forbrugerrådet Tænk søger en ny direktør
Region Hovedstaden
INSTITUTLEDER PÅ AAU BUSINESS SCHOOL – Aalborg Universitet
Region Nordjylland
Skatteministeriet søger kontorchef til Organisering og Governance
Region H
Udløber snart
SPARTA SØGER EN ERFAREN KOMMERCIEL CHE
Region H

Mere fra ØU Finans

Log ind

Har du ikke allerede en bruger? Opret dig her.

FÅ VORES STORE NYTÅRSUDGAVE AF FORMUE

Her er de 10 bedste aktier i 2022

Tilbuddet udløber om:
dage
timer
min.
sek.

Analyse af og prognoser for Fixed Income (statsrenter og realkreditrenter)

Direkte adgang til opdaterede analyser fra toneangivende finanshuse:

Goldman Sachs

Fidelity

Danske Bank

Morgan Stanley

ABN Amro

Jyske Bank

UBS

SEB

Natixis

Handelsbanken

Merril Lynch 

Direkte adgang til realkreditinstitutternes renteprognoser:

Nykredit

Realkredit Danmark

Nordea

Analyse og prognoser for kort rente, samt for centralbankernes politikker

Links:

RBC

Capital Economics

Yardeni – Central Bank Balance Sheet 

Investing.com: FED Watch Monitor Tool

Nordea

Scotiabank