Uddrag fra BNP Paribas- se præsentation her:
Results at a glance
The counting of votes has not yet ended, so there is still uncertainty regarding the precise seat allocation by party
Technically, the results point to a ‘hung’ parliament, as widely expected on the back of the pre-blackout opinion polls
None of the three major blocs won an absolute majority
Of the coalitions, the centre-right got the largest number of votes; of the parties, Five Star got the most votes
Effectively, anti-establishment parties appear to have won the election at the expense of mainstream parties: together, antiestablishment
parties took about 50% of the vote and, potentially, more than 50% of the seats
Politically, Italy appears divided, with the League performing well in northern and some central regions and Five Star
performing much better than expected in the south
Within the centre-right coalition, the League received the most votes, in contrast to the indication from pre-vote opinion polls
The performance of Berlusconi’s Forza Italia was weaker than expected; that of the centre-left, poor
Implications
Any possible government will have to include Five Star or the League, or both
The formation of a coalition comprising Five Star and the League is difficult politically but cannot be ruled out at this stage
Both the League and especially Five Star have considerably toned down their euro-sceptic rhetoric, but euro-scepticism is part of their message
Both parties want to reconsider some of the economic reforms previously adopted and raise the public budget deficit – this might put them on a collision course with Brussels
The press speculates the Mr Renzi will resign as leader of the Pd, which will probably go into opposition
A new election is possible as a last resort if a government cannot be forme
