Fra Danske Bank:
Monday, July 13, 2020
Period Danske Bank Consensus Previous
17:30 USD Fed’s Williams (voter, neutral) speaks
20:00 USD Budget statement USD bn Jun -398.8
Tuesday, July 14, 2020
Period Danske Bank Consensus Previous
– CNY Trade balance USD bn Jun 57.4 62.9
– PLN Polish central bank rate decision % 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
6:30 JPY Industrial production, final m/m|y/y May -8.4%|-25.9%
8:00 GBP Monthly GDP estimate m/m|q/q May 0.053|-0.174 -0.204|-0.104
8:00 GBP Index of services m/m|3m/3m May 0.048|-0.17 -0.19|-0.099
8:00 GBP Trade balance GBP mio. May -700 305
8:00 DEM HICP, final m/m|y/y Jun 0.7%|0.8% 0.7%|0.8%
9:00 ESP HICP, final m/m|y/y Jun 0.4%|-0.3% 0.4%|-0.3%
9:30 SEK Underlying inflation CPIF m/m|y/y Jun 0.4%|0.5% 0.6%|0.0%
9:30 SEK CPI m/m|y/y Jun 0.4%|0.5% 0.6%|0.0%
11:00 EUR Industrial production m/m|y/y May 9.0%|-21.2% -17.1%|-28.0%
11:00 DEM ZEW current situation Index Jul -62.5 -83.1
11:00 DEM ZEW expectations Index Jul 62.5 63.4
12:00 USD NFIB small business optimism Index Jun 97.5 94.4
14:30 USD CPI headline m/m|y/y Jun 0.6%|0.6% -0.1%|0.1%
14:30 USD CPI core m/m|y/y Jun 0.1%|1.1% -0.1%|1.2%
20:30 USD Fed’s Bullard (non-voter, dovish) speaks
Wednesday, July 15, 2020
Period Danske Bank Consensus Previous
– JPY BoJ policy rate % -0.1% -0.1%
8:00 GBP PPI – input m/m|y/y Jun 0.3%|-10.0%
8:00 GBP CPI m/m|y/y Jun 0.0%|0.5% 0.0%|0.5%
8:00 GBP CPI core y/y Jun 1.2% 1.2%
8:00 SEK Prospera inflation expectations
8:00 NOK Trade balance NOK bn Jun -1.2
10:00 ITL HICP, final m/m|y/y Jun …|-0.4% …|-0.4%
14:30 USD Import prices m/m|y/y Jun 1.0%|… 1.0%|-6.0%
14:30 USD Empire Manufacturing PMI Index Jul 5.5 -0.2
15:15 USD Capacity utilization % Jun 68.0% 64.8%
15:15 USD Industrial production m/m Jun 4.8% 1.4%
15:15 USD Manufacturing production m/m Jun 5.5% 3.8%
16:00 CAD Bank of Canada rate decision % 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
16:30 USD DOE U.S. crude oil inventories K 5654
18:00 USD Fed’s Harker (voter, neutral) speaks
Thursday, July 16, 2020
Period Danske Bank Consensus Previous
0:45 NZD CPI q/q|y/y 2nd quarter -0.5%|1.5% 0.8%|2.5%
3:30 AUD Employment change 1000 Jun 104 -227.7
4:00 CNY Real GDP q/q|y/y 2nd quarter 9.6%|2.5% -9.8%|-6.8%
4:00 CNY Fixed assets investments y/y Jun -3.4% -6.3%
4:00 CNY Industrial production y/y Jun 4.8% 4.4%
4:00 CNY Retail sales y/y Jun 0.2% -2.8%
8:00 GBP Unemployment rate (3M) % May 4.5% 3.9%
8:00 GBP Average weekly earnings ex bonuses (3M) y/y May 0.6% 1.7%
8:45 FRF HICP, final m/m|y/y Jun -0.1%|0.1% -0.1%|0.1%
11:00 EUR Trade balance EUR bn May 1.2
13:45 EUR ECB announces refi rate % 0.00% 0.00%
13:45 EUR ECB announces deposit rate % -0.50% -0.50%
14:30 USD Initial jobless claims 1000 1314
14:30 USD Philly Fed index Index Jul 20.0 27.5
14:30 USD Retail sales control group m/m Jun 4.5% 11.0%
14:30 EUR ECB’s Lagarde speaks at press conference
16:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Index Jul 60.0 58.0
17:00 USD Fed’s Evans (non-voter, neutral) speaks
17:10 USD Fed’s Williams (voter, neutral) speaks
22:00 USD TICS international capital flow, Net inflow USD bn May 125.3
Friday, July 17, 2020
Period Danske Bank Consensus Previous
– EUR Moody’s may publish Portugal’s debt rating
11:00 EUR HICP inflation, final m/m|y/y Jun 0.3%|0.3% 0.3%|0.1%
11:00 EUR HICP – core inflation, final y/y Jun 0.8% 0.8%
14:30 USD Building permits 1000 (m/m) Jun 1300 1216.0 (14.1%)
14:30 USD Housing starts 1000 (m/m) Jun 1180 974.0 (4.3%)
16:00 USD University of Michigan Confidence, preliminary Index Jul 80.0 78.1
