After a bad year… |
Jefferies examined the individual annual returns for the SPX over the past 100Y. “We found that while the approx. -20% YTD return for the SPX looks historically poor, you tend to see a bounce back in the years after similar declines. That said, it is hard to locate one that doesn’t occur during or in the immediate aftermath of a recession. We would also highlight that negative return years tend to be followed by annual returns that are stronger than the overall average, and the worse negative returns are, the better the performance the next year tends to be. In fact, the last 3 times the SPX annual return was worse that this year’s, the SPX returned over 20% in the following year” |
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