”The euro area is forecast to avoid recession despite Trump tariffs. The region is predicted to avoid recession, even as Goldman Sachs Research projects GDP growth to lag behind expectations. The euro area economy is predicted to expand 0.8% in 2025, compared with the consensus forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg indicating 1.2% growth. German GDP is expected to contract 0.3% and France’s economy will shrink by 0.7%, while Spain’s GDP (again outperforming) will increase by 2%. US President-elect Donald Trump’s planned tariffs are likely to weigh significantly on growth, with much of the drag stemming from higher trade policy uncertainty. Although the region’s economy is expected to expand in the coming year, there’s a 30% chance of a significant recession.” Læs hele 18-siders analysen her
Morten W. Langer
