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Grafer: Guldpriser i hæsblæsende rally efter centralbank-opkøb

Morten W. Langer

onsdag 05. februar 2025 kl. 9:20

Uddrag fra finanshuse og MarketEar

The gold bull

Gold continues surging, trading well above the break out levels. We are in overbought land, but as we all know, things can stay overbought for longer than most think possible…especially post powerful break outs. There is a big trend channel worth pointing out. Plenty more to go should we try the upper part of that channel. Not impossible given the extraordinary taking place (more here). After all, gold is the everything hedge.

Source: Refinitiv

 

Gold in EUR

You know things are “dynamic” when the gold (in euros) chart looks like a small cap having profit warned to the upside. RSI overbought, but we have seen more extreme levels.

Source: Refinitiv

 

Why aren’t you long more?

Lot of bosses asking their PMs this question in gold. Net non commercials have bought, but could buy much more should real FOMO kick in.

Source: Refinitiv

 

Be a gold bro

Physical is the real deal these days…

Source: Refinitiv

 

Say it with options

That “gold trades with an upside skew” logic we have been pointing out for a few weeks is kicking in. Gold volatility has risen lately, but there is plenty to go should volatilities catch similar bids to previous melt ups in the underlying. Do not forget to roll those call spreads into higher strikes dynamically in order to capture max “options juice”.

Source: Refinitiv

 

CTAs in gold

They need to buy more of the shiny metal. BofA going into this week: “….our model projects that trend followers will pick up their pace of buying on all price paths next week.”

Source: BofA

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