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Grafer: Markedet er ikke kun Bullish på MAG7 aktier, positionering er mod stor kursstigning

Morten W. Langer

lørdag 01. november 2025 kl. 14:04

Markedet er ikke kun bullish på MAG7
Calls over puts is not how things are “supposed” to trade in equities. MAG7 call skew flipped positive for the first time since last December, signaling heavy upside positioning, a setup that’s often followed by short-term reversals according to GS.
GS
GS
Single stock put/call ratio shows the investors are very excited about the upside.
GS
Ikke alt er godt i AI land
That ORCL stress continues to “stay strong”…
LSEG Workspace
…some of the recent ORCL CDS stress spills over. Chart shows ORCL 5y CDS vs. VXN.
LSEG Workspace
Hungry for cash
“Companies may be reaching a limit on how much capex they can fund purely from CFs.” (BofA)
BofA
Gold exodus
Big numbers: record $7.5bn outflow in gold…follows $59bn inflow past 4 months.
BofA
Theta agony
As we have been pointing out over the past weeks, gold volatility got way too “excited”. GVZ has come down from recent panic highs, but there is more room for gold volatility to move lower. The crowd is learning the hard way how theta works…
LSEG Workspace
Dollar trying
DXY broke above the triangle like formation during yesterday’s squeeze. 100 is the big level to watch. Note the 50 day moving average crossing the 100 day. The dollar bear started with the negative cross, let’s see if the positive cross gets the dollar going in a more serious way… Full dollar note here.
LSEG Workspace
Long gone
Recall the euro bull? That is long gone. To us this continues to look like a bigger momentum fade. Note we are about to take out a shorter term trend line and the 50 is close to crossing the 100 day in a negative cross. The bull started with the positive cross, let’s see how a possible negative cross could play out.
LSEG Workspace
EM and the dollar connection
Many are long the EM space due to the “weak dollar logic”. Recall that the dollar hasn’t been as weak as people seem to believe. Chart shows EEM vs. DXY (inv). More here.
LSEG Workspace

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