Annonce

Log ud Log ind
Log ud Log ind
Formue

Handelskrig? Mexica indsætter 10.000 tropper ved grænsen for at stoppe narko, toldtariffer udskydes

Morten W. Langer

mandag 03. februar 2025 kl. 18:02

Uddrag fra Zerohedge:

Tl;dr: VP JD Vance summed it all up in one simple tweet:

For three days a lot of the far left has actively rooted against America and argued we’d get nothing out of President Trunp’s demands that Mexico secure its country.

Well, how do you like them apples?”

Apples indeed! Now let’s see what Trudeau has to say later…

*  *  *

Late last night we said that it is very likely Trump’s trade war would be very short, after we pointed to better than evern Polymarket odds that the trade war with both Mexico and Canada would be over in the next month or two.

And then, just hours later, this appears to have been validated after Mexico’s president Scheinbaum said that after having a good conversation with Trump, Mexico is “pausing tariffs for a month for now” and that Mexico will promptly comply with Trump’s ask by reinforning the northern border with 10,000 national guard members to “prevent drug trafficking from Mexico to the US, particularly fentanyl.”

Here is a translation of what she said:

We had a good conversation with President Trump with great respect for our relationship and sovereignty; we reached a series of agreements:

1. Mexico will immediately reinforce the northern border with 10,000 members of the National Guard to prevent drug trafficking from Mexico to the United States, particularly fentanyl.

2. The United States is committed to working to prevent the trafficking of high-powered weapons to Mexico.

3. Our teams will begin working today on two fronts: security and trade.

4. They are pausing tariffs for one month from now.

President Trump has confirmed the tariffs are paused for one month:

The Canadians were very busy scouring the Government’s tariffs site…

And now that trade war with Mexico appears to be over, Trump just has to repeat the same with Canada when he speaks to Trudeau at 3pm ET today.

As for China, we doubt that particular trade war will be as easy to win but who knows: Trump is certainly on a roll.

In any case, the market is certainly delighted with the outcome, and the Mexican peso is surging…

TSY yields are rising (shouldn’t they fall on non-inflationary, non-tariffs?)…

Oil prices have plunged, erasing overnight tariff-driven gains…

Bitcoin is ripping higher (as we suppose this means no large drop in global liquidity?)

And US equities are reversing the large losses overnight quite rapidly…

Now, what will the MSM say after doom-mongering all morning about Trump’s ‘catastrophic’ tariffs?

[postviewcount]

Jobannoncer

Controller med fokus på bæredygtighed til Koncernregnskab i Sampension
Region Hovedstaden
Sydbank søger Privatrådgiver til Kgs. Lyngby
Kgs. Lyngby
Senioranalytiker / Porteføljemanager til infrastrukturinvesteringer
Hellerup
Kommunikationschef til Københavns Professionshøjskole
København
Dyrenes Beskyttelse søger erfaren projektleder til kampagner
Søborg
Data Scientist til nyoprettet AI-afdeling i AP Pension
København
Privatrådgiver til Djursland Bank
Lystrup
Kommunikationschef til Hospitalsstaben, Aarhus Universitetshospital
Aarhus

Mere fra ØU Formue

Log ind

Har du ikke allerede en bruger? Opret dig her.

Køb Danmarks 100 Rigeste 2024
i lækker printudgave

Du kan købe den i 7Elevens kiosker eller bestille den hos [email protected] eller ved at ringe på +45 31323299.

FÅ VORES STORE NYTÅRSUDGAVE AF FORMUE

Her er de 10 bedste aktier i 2022

Tilbuddet udløber om:
dage
timer
min.
sek.

Analyse af og prognoser for Fixed Income (statsrenter og realkreditrenter)

Direkte adgang til opdaterede analyser fra toneangivende finanshuse:

Goldman Sachs

Fidelity

Danske Bank

Morgan Stanley

ABN Amro

Jyske Bank

UBS

SEB

Natixis

Handelsbanken

Merril Lynch 

Direkte adgang til realkreditinstitutternes renteprognoser:

Nykredit

Realkredit Danmark

Nordea

Analyse og prognoser for kort rente, samt for centralbankernes politikker

Links:

RBC

Capital Economics

Yardeni – Central Bank Balance Sheet 

Investing.com: FED Watch Monitor Tool

Nordea

Scotiabank