Historisk er hurtige kursfald efter abrupte geopolitiske begivenheder hurtigt overstået

Historically, the S&P 500 tends to fall around -6% in the three weeks following a geopolitical shock, only to recover fully over the subsequent three weeks. Our strategists argue that the bar for a more significant sell-off is higher this time, as equity positioning is already quite light—currently -0.33 standard deviations below the mean, or in the 28th percentile. (DB Reid)