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PMI: USA’s erhvervstillid dykker til tæt på finanskrise-niveau

Morten W. Langer

lørdag 07. september 2019 kl. 9:40

PMI for USA – læs hele meddelelsen her:

Commenting on the PMI data, Chris Williamson, Chief
Business Economist at IHS Markit said:

“US businesses reported one of the toughest months
since the global financial crisis in August, with growth
of output, order books and hiring all slowing amid
steep falls in both export and business confidence.

“Only on two occasions since the global financial crisis
have the US PMI surveys recorded a weaker monthly
expansion, and these were months in which business
was hit by the government shutdown and bad weather
in 2013 and 2016 respectively. This time, trade wars
and falling exports appear to be the main drivers of
weakness, exacerbating fears of a broader economic
slowdown both at home and globally.

“At current levels, the August PMIs are indicating
annualized GDP growth of 1.0%, putting the economy
on course for growth of just below 1.5% in the third
quarter. Such weak readings hint at downside risks
to current third quarter growth projections, which
generally point to an expansion of just over 2%.

“A major factor behind the deterioration was the
spreading of the manufacturing downturn to the
service sector, via weakened household and business
confidence. Jobs growth is also increasingly being
affected by worries regarding the outlook. Overall jobs
growth in August was the weakest since early-2012,
commensurate with non-farm payrolls rising at a
monthly rate of under 100,000.”

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