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Morten W. Langer

onsdag 29. april 2015 kl. 20:10

FRA MONEYMORNING.COM:

CHART: Stock Market Correction Risks Are Mounting

There are more warnings of a stock market correction circulating now – especially since theNasdaq and S&P 500 both reached closing record highs Friday.

The Nasdaq Composite closed at a record high on Friday at 5,092.08. That was the first time the index had set a record in more than 15 years. The S&P 500 closed the week at 2,117.69. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 have now climbed 7.7% and 3% respectively in 2015.

At the same time, more than $79 billion has left U.S. stock funds this year.

This “big decoupling” between money flowing into stocks and company share prices is a sign of a looming stock market correction, according to analysts from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. A market correction is when there is a 10% or greater drop in share prices.

Check out BofA’s chart. It shows how the amount of money in U.S. stocks has fallen from about $179 billion at the start of 2015, to near $100 billion today.

stock market correction

The same research note also shows outflows in nine of the last 10 weeks. Investors haven’t taken money out of the markets at such a high rate since 2009.

“Correction risks will grow in [the] absence of fresh inflows in coming weeks,” analysts wrote.

To get more insight on the chances of a stock market correction in coming weeks, we askedMoney Morning‘s Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald what he’s telling investors to watch for now.

“The current bull market is now the fourth longest on record in the last 115 years and nearly twice the length of the average bull run,” Fitz-Gerald told readers this weekend. “At the same time, stocks are getting pricey and fears of a Fed-led rate hike are creeping in around the edges.”

“Yet, this is not the time to run for the hills,” he continued.

Here’s why investors shouldn’t flee when facing a possible stock market correction

How to Invest as Stock Market Correction Risks Rise

It’s only human to get nervous about a stock market correction. But letting your emotions decide your investing moves can lead to losses.

Fitz-Gerald points out research from InvestTech,Bloomberg, and S&P Capital IQ that shows how bull markets can tack on another 20% or more during their final stages.

Plus, investors who leave the market will miss out on any gains when the market starts climbing again.

Here are the types of stocks Fitz-Gerald recommends investing in:

“The best way to play a correction is to stick to ‘must-have’ companies in technology, biopharma, defense, and energy – all of which have been shown to outperform as a bull market ages,” Fitz-Gerald continued.

“‘Must-have companies’ making, distributing, and selling services the world cannot live without are the way to go,” he explained. “No matter how bad the world gets or what kind of political leadership we inherit, you’re still going to need the stuff they make.”

Fitz-Gerald said “you’ll know you’ve found one when you see the higher than average profit growth that goes with the territory.”

Right now, Fitz-Gerald is recommending a tech company that has completely changed the way the world works. Its products have revolutionized the way we use information, and are used by every industry. And best of all, Fitz-Gerald sees this stock climbing more than 50% in the next 24 months…

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