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Status på Iran-krigen: Svært at få øje på en fredsaftale – efter genstart af krigshandlinger

Morten W. Langer

torsdag 28. maj 2026 kl. 11:32

Resume af internationele mediers dækning af Iran krigen, bearbejdet til dansk 

De globale finansmarkeder bliver nu presset af nye militære spændinger i Mellemøsten, efter at amerikanske styrker gennemførte luftangreb mod et iransk militært anlæg. Angrebene blev koblet til amerikanske forsøg på at imødegå trusler mod både amerikanske styrker og kommerciel skibsfart i området omkring Hormuzstrædet. Samtidig indførte USA nye sanktioner rettet mod Irans forsøg på at tjene penge på skibe, der passerer gennem strædet.

Ifølge medierne svarede Iran igen ved at angribe en amerikansk base, hvorfra angrebet angiveligt var udgået. Oplysningen bygger på en rapport fra Tasnim, der citerer Irans Revolutionsgarde, IRGC. Kuwait meldte samtidig, at landet reagerede på fjendtlige missil- og dronetrusler, og at eventuelle eksplosioner kunne skyldes luftforsvarets nedskydning af fjendtlige mål.

En amerikansk embedsmand beskriver de amerikanske angreb som defensive og fastholder, at USA ønsker at opretholde den våbenhvile, der begyndte måneden før. Ifølge embedsmanden havde amerikanske CENTCOM-styrker skudt fire iranske angrebsdroner ned, som var rettet mod et kommercielt skib, og desuden ramt en iransk droneaffyringsenhed i Bandar Abbas nær Hormuzstrædet. Reuters omtales som kilde til oplysninger om nye amerikanske angreb inde i Iran efter aflytning eller nedskydning af iranske droner.

Der var også meldinger om eksplosioner øst for Bandar Abbas, en strategisk vigtig iransk havneby og flådebase nær Hormuzstrædet. Fars News Agency rapporterede, at tre eksplosioner blev hørt omkring klokken 01.30 lokal tid, og at luftforsvaret i området kortvarigt blev aktiveret. Medierne fremhæver, at situationen dermed potentielt kan udvikle sig tilbage mod fuld militær konflikt, selv om retorikken fra begge sider indimellem også har været mere behersket og med signaler om, at en endelig aftale fortsat kan være mulig.

Under et tv-transmitteret kabinetsmøde i Det Hvide Hus gentog præsident Trump, at Hormuzstrædet skulle være åbent for alle, og at USA ville holde øje med strædet. Han udtalte også, at Iran kun ville få adgang til sine penge, når landet “opfører sig” ordentligt. Trump afviste desuden, at Iran ville få sanktionslettelser til gengæld for at opgive højt beriget uran. Ifølge teksten sagde han direkte til PBS News, at der ikke var tale om sanktionslettelser, og han beskrev Iran som et land, der er “intent on a deal”, men samtidig “negotiating on fumes”.

Et centralt tema i teksten er uenigheden om Irans højt berigede uran. Trump-administrationen fastholder dette som et afgørende krav, mens iranske ledere afviser, at spørgsmålet er på forhandlingsbordet. Ali Bagheri Kani, der omtales som vicegeneralsekretær i Irans Øverste Nationale Sikkerhedsråd, sagde ifølge Fars, at spørgsmålet om at overføre Irans højt berigede uran ud af landet ikke er på dagsordenen.

Samtidig afviser Det Hvide Hus iranske statsmediers fremstilling af et muligt memorandum of understanding, MOU. Ifølge teksten havde iransk stats-tv omtalt et uofficielt udkast til en midlertidig fredsaftale mellem USA og Iran. Udkastet skulle blandt andet indebære, at skibstrafikken gennem Hormuzstrædet normaliseres inden for en måned, at amerikanske militærstyrker trækker sig tilbage fra nærheden af Iran, at en flådeblokade ophæves, og at en endelig aftale kan godkendes som en bindende resolution i FN’s Sikkerhedsråd inden for 60 dage. Det Hvide Hus kaldte imidlertid rapporteringen for en “complete fabrication” og advarede mod at stole på iranske statsmedier.

Teksten beskriver derfor forhandlingssituationen som uklar og præget af gensidige afvisninger. På den ene side peger iranske medier på et muligt forhandlingsspor om Hormuzstrædet, skibstrafik og militær tilbagetrækning. På den anden side afviser USA rigtigheden af de iranske oplysninger, mens selve spørgsmålet om beriget uran fortsat fremstår som en uløst kernekonflikt. Olieprisen reagerede ifølge teksten også på meldingerne om en mulig MOU, men grundlaget for optimisme fremstilles som usikkert.

Iran fastholder samtidig en hård retorik. IRGC-repræsentanten Mohammad Akbarzadeh advarede om, at Iran ville gøre området fra Chabahar til Mahshahr til en “gravplads for aggressorer”, hvis våbenhvilen bryder sammen. Han fremhævede, at de iranske styrker er fuldt kampklare, og afviste forestillingen om, at Iran skulle forhandle ud fra en position af svaghed. Ifølge teksten kombinerer Iran dermed signaler om indirekte kontakt med Washington med en meget konfrontatorisk militær retorik.

Pentagon-siden vurderer, at Iran forsøger at “hedge its bets” i Hormuzstrædet. Den tidligere CENTCOM-chef Joseph Votel nævnes for vurderingen af, at Irans rapporterede forsøg på at lægge miner i Hormuzstrædet kan ses som et forsøg på at lægge ekstra pres på USA midt i forhandlingerne. Han fremhæver, at CENTCOM opdagede aktiviteten og hurtigt greb militært ind.

Irans præsident Masoud Pezeshkian flytter i teksten fokus fra den militære konflikt til den økonomiske krig. På et møde med Teherans handelskammer sagde han, at “den vigtigste slagmark i dag er den økonomiske krig”. Han opfordrede til en styrkelse af den private sektor og en strukturel omlægning af hjemmemarkedet for at gøre landet mere modstandsdygtigt over for ydre pres. Pezeshkian fremstiller ifølge teksten vestlige sanktioner og økonomisk pres som et tegn på, at USA og Israel ikke har opnået deres mål militært.

Irans forsøg viser umiddelbart robusthed ved at genåbne beskadiget infrastruktur. Tabriz International Airport i det nordvestlige Iran, som ifølge medier blev hårdt beskadiget under luftangreb, er igen officielt i drift. Iranske myndigheder oplyser, at lokale tekniske teams har fået lufthavnen tilbage i funktion trods forsyningsproblemer. Tabriz føjer sig dermed til en voksende liste over genåbnede transportknudepunkter, og ifølge iranske statsmedier er i alt 20 lufthavne nu genåbnet.

Samlet set beskriver medierne en situation, hvor militær optrapning, energimarkeder, diplomatisk usikkerhed og økonomisk krigsførelse er tæt sammenvævet. USA forsøger at holde Hormuz strædet åbent og presse Iran militært og økonomisk, mens Iran svarer igen både militært, retorisk og gennem krav om kontrol med trafikken i området. Markederne reagerer nervøst, især via faldende aktier og stigende oliepriser. Forhandlingerne fremstår samtidig skrøbelige, fordi de to parter ikke engang synes enige om, hvad der ligger på bordet, og fordi spørgsmålet om Irans berigede uran fortsat står som den centrale uafklarede konflikt.

 

Uddrag fra diverse medier og Zerohedge

 

  • Equity Futures Tumble, Oil Surges On Fresh Middle East Strikes
  • US forces carried out airstrikes on an Iranian military site and imposed new sanctions to prevent Tehran from profiting from vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. In response, Iran targeted the American airbase from which the attack originated, according to a Tasnim report, which cited the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Kuwait also said it’s responding to hostile missile and drone threats
  • New US strikes in Iran reported, after Iranian drone intercepts in Hormuz area.
  • Trump red line (PBS): “No, no, not at all. Not sanctions relief, no” – unless Iran gives up its enriched uranium. “Iran negotiating on fumes,” Trump says in cabinet meeting.
  • White House rejects ‘complete fabrication’ of Iranian TV reporting on MOU and draft deal status.
  • IRGC keeping up the rhetoric: warns that Iran would “turn the area from Chabahar to Mahshahr into a graveyard for aggressors” if the ceasefire collapses.
  • CENTCOM: “Clearly the Iranians are trying to hedge their bets here and put more pressure on the US.”
  • Iranian president: “The main battleground today is the economic war.
  • Tabriz International Airport in northwestern Iran– which sustained heavy damage from airstrikes during the peak of the aerial bombings – is officially operational again, bringing restored airports to 20 reopened.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 50% · No 51%
View full market & trade on Polymarket

 

Equity Futures Tumble, Oil Surges On Fresh Middle East Strikes

Stocks and bonds fell while oil surged after fresh attacks in the Middle East returned amid conflicting signals from the US and Iran on a deal to end the war.  The MSCI All Country World Index, the broadest measure of global equities, retreated from a record high and dropped 0.4%. A gauge of Asian shares slumped 1.7%. Futures for the S&P 500 slumped 0.5%, and the Nasdaq 100 retreated 0.8%, while contracts for European stocks also pointed to a weaker open. Brent surged to $98 while WTI also traded almost $3 higher above $92 on the news.

The escalation started after US forces carried out airstrikes on an Iranian military site and imposed new sanctions to prevent Tehran from profiting from vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

In response, Iran targeted the American airbase from which the attack originated, according to a Tasnim report, which cited the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Adding to the tensions, Kuwait said it was responding to hostile missile and drone threats. The nation’s army said in a social media post that “any explosions that may be heard are the result of air defense systems intercepting hostile targets.”

An American official described the attacks as defensive, saying the US intends to maintain the ceasefire that began last month. The official said US Central Command forces had shot down a quartet of one-way Iranian attack drones that were fired at a commercial ship and also struck another Iranian drone-launching unit in Bandar Abbas, near the strait.

The dollar strengthened for a third consecutive day, while gold fell 1.5% to below $4,400 an ounce. Treasuries dropped as higher oil prices stoked inflation concerns, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year climbing four basis points to about 4.53%.

Earlier, the US Treasury said it took action against Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority, accusing it of launching a new attempt “to monetize its campaign of state-sponsored terror by extorting vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.”

*  *  *

Fresh US Strikes on Iran amid Deal Stalemate

There are reports of new late night/early morning (local time) military strikes by the US over Iran. The US military carried out new strikes inside Iran after intercepting multiple Iranian drones, according to Reuters. An American official said the targeted Iranian military site was assessed to pose a threat to both American forces and commercial shipping operating near the Strait of Hormuz.

Reuters further reported that the intercepted drones had been launched from Iran, marking another escalation in tensions as Washington moves to counter perceived threats to regional maritime traffic and its military presence.

Just prior to this confirmation, CNN described mystery explosions along Iran’s coast:

Three explosions were heard to the east of Bandar Abbas, a strategic Iranian port city and naval base near the Strait of Hormuz, Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency reported in the early hours of Thursday.

The blasts were reported at around 1:30 a.m. local time and caused the air defense systems of Bandar Abbas to be briefly activated, according to Fars, a media outlet with links to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

This suggests things could return to full-blown military conflict once again, though the rhetoric from either side has been restrained, and at times even optimistic that a final deal could still be achieved.

More from Trump Cabinet Meeting

The president has said that under a framework deal, the Straight of Hormuz would open immediately; however, the Iranians are now insisting the IRGC has control of the vital oil transit waterway. Below is a short round-up of some of the more interesting latest statements from Trump, during a televised cabinet meeting at the White House.

  • TRUMP: STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL BE OPEN TO EVERYBODY
  • TRUMP: WE’LL WATCH OVER STRAIT OF HORMUZ
  • TRUMP: OMAN WILL BEHAVE OR WE’LL HAVE TO BLOW THEM UP
  • TRUMP ON IRAN: WHEN THEY BEHAVE WE’LL LET THEM HAVE THEIR MONEY

Trump Red Line

President Trump has reasserted his ‘red line’ for negotiations, centered on enriched uranium and the nuclear issue:

President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that Iran would not get sanctions relief in exchange for giving up their highly enriched uranium. His comments come as the United States and Iran try to strike a deal to end the conflict that has engulfed the Middle East for the last three months.

“No, no, not at all. Not sanctions relief, no,” Trump told PBS News during a short phone call when asked if the current deal would mean that Iran would give up their highly enriched uranium in exchange for sanctions relief.

Trump also in a televised Wednesday afternoon cabinet meeting said Iran is “intent on a deal” but that “Iran is negotiating on fumes.

White House Rejects ‘Complete Fabrication’ Of Iran TV MOU Contents

The Trump administration has denied the morning Iranian state media reports on the contents of a current ‘Memorandum of Understanding’ (MOU) – which curiously had left out any reference whatsoever to the fate of Iran’s enriched uranium…

  • WHITE HOUSE: NOBODY SHOULD BELIEVE IRAN STATE MEDIA REPORTING
  • WHITE HOUSE CALLS REPORTED IRAN MOU A ‘COMPLETE FABRICATION’

An official underscored that it is a “complete fabrication” – and so it seems we are yet again back at square one, as Tehran has also said it is only engaged in ‘indirect’ contact with Washington at this point. There are further reports in US media that the Pentagon has drawn up a new target list, and has acknowledged that the Iranians have been able to better hide their missile launch sites.

Also emerging are ambiguous reports of some kind of potential explosion incident at a petrochemical complex at Asaluyeh, in Iran’s Bushehr province.

US side denounces Iranian state media reporting on current MOU draft and status:

Oil Dumps on MOU Headlines

As for the status of talks, the below headlines present the latest (and noticeably absent is the enriched uranium question, or release of Iranian funds). Bloomberg summarizes: “An unofficial draft of a US-Iran interim peace deal says maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz can return to normal within a month of the agreement being finalized, according to Iranian state television.
It’s unclear how recent the draft, reported by IRIB News, is or whether the US has agreed to the terms.”

  • Iran’s state TV says it has a draft of the initial unofficial framework for MOU with US
  • According to draft MOU US military forces will withdraw from vicinity of Iran and lift naval blockade
  • Iran’s state TV says in return, Iran has committed to restoring the number of commercial transit ships through Hormuz Strait to pre-war levels within one month
  • Iran’s state TV says military vessels are not included in this draft agreement
  • Iran’s state TV: A final agreement will be approved as a binding UN Security Council resolution if reached in 60 days.
  • The Islamabad memorandum framework is still in progress, stating no action will be taken by Iran without “tangible verification.”
  • If a final deal is reached within 60 days, this agreement will be approved in the form of a binding UN Security Council resolution.
  • The management and route of ship traffic through Strait of Hormuz will be handled by Iran in cooperation with Oman.

Oil dumping on the headlines:

As usual, there remains a basis for skepticism:

Iran Vows ‘Graveyard For Aggressors’ amid ‘Indirect’ US Contacts

Tehran is keeping the war rhetoric cranked to a maximum, but is also conceding that a return to full-scale war with the United States and Israel is ‘unlikely’ at this stage. The Islamic Republic says at this moment only ‘indirect’ contact with Washington is happening, as cited in Bloomberg.

The IRGC is seeking to dismantle any assumption that Iran is entering peace talks from a position of tactical submission. Speaking to the semi-official Tasnim news agency, Mohammad Akbarzadeh – the political deputy of the IRGC Navy – warned that any resumption of US kinetic activity would result in catastrophic casualties for Western forces.

Akbarzadeh touted that the armed forces remain at a level of total readiness, threatening that Iran would “turn the area from Chabahar to Mahshahr into a graveyard for aggressors” if the ceasefire collapses. “Our fighters today carry in their chests the urge for hand-to-hand battle with the enemy,” Akbarzadeh declared, writing off the prospect of a renewed Western assault due to what he assessed as the “weakness” of the American-led coalition.

Pentagon: Iran ‘Hedging its Bets’ in Hormuz Strait

The Pentagon has acknowledged that Iran is ‘hedging its bets’ amid Hormuz tensions:

Former CENTCOM Commander Gen. Joseph Votel said Iran’s reported effort to lay mines in the Strait of Hormuz suggests Tehran is “hedging its bets” and attempting to ramp up pressure on the U.S. amid ongoing negotiations.

Clearly the Iranians are trying to hedge their bets here and put more pressure on the U.S., and what we saw here was CENTCOM detecting that and then taking military action to address it very, very quickly,” Votel said during a Tuesday appearance on Fox News’ “America Reports.”

Iranian source to DropSite:

“If the U.S. cannot give the money that belongs to Iran back to Iran, and the U.S. cannot put a leash on Netanyahu and stop him from going on a rampage in Lebanon, then it shows that this conflict has not ended,” Izadi says. “This is a test for Iran to see what’s going on with the other side.”

Enriched Uranium Not on the Agenda

And all the while Iranian leaders have continued to make clear they will not bow to the central Trump administration demand of transferring Iran’s highly enriched uranium out of the country – though there were prior unconfirmed reports that China could be an acceptable destination for some Iranian officials.

Speaking from the sidelines of an international security conference in Moscow, Ali Bagheri Kani, deputy secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, bluntly told Fars news agency: “This issue is not on the agenda of the negotiations.”

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian in fresh remarks is signaling that the conflict has simply migrated from an air and sea war to the global financial system.

Pezeshkian: Main Battleground Now the Economic War

Meeting with the Tehran Chamber of Commerce on Wednesday, Pezeshkian urged a structural overhaul of the country’s domestic market, calling for an immediate expansion of the private sector to act as an economic shield.

“The main battleground today is the economic war,” Pezeshkian stated, according to Tasnim. “We believe the more capable, agile, and active the private sector is, the stronger the country’s economic foundation will become, and the greater our national power will be in the face of external pressures and threats.”

Pezeshkian framed the Western shift toward sanctions and capital starvation as an admission of military failure by Washington and its Israeli ally. “After failing to achieve its objectives on the military front, the enemy has focused on damaging the country’s economic resilience and disrupting the livelihoods of the people,” the president added.

Indeed this is obviously what the US naval blockade on Iranian ports aims to accomplish, which Washington continuing to bet on some kind of mass anti-regime uprising, which has yet to materialize since the start of Operation Epic Fury.

20 Damaged Airports Across Country Reopened

To demonstrate its resolve and resiliency even while Washington tries to keep the economic chokehold on, Iranian civic workers continue to rebuild logistical infrastructure at rapid pace.

As the latest example, on Wednesday the Civil Aviation Organization announced that Tabriz International Airport in northwestern Iran- which sustained heavy damage from airstrikes during the peak of the aerial bombings – is officially operational again.

“The gateway to northwest Iran”…

According to public broadcaster IRIB, domestic technical teams managed to bypass supply chain bottlenecks to restore the facility to full service. “Tabriz Airport, which was attacked during the recent war, has now been restored to activity by Iranian specialists and will reopen on Wednesday,” a spokesperson confirmed.

Tabriz joins a growing list of critical transit hubs rushing to normalize operations, according to Al Jazeera, while state media reports state that the total number of reopened airports across the country has now reached 20.

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