Den svenske arbejdsløshed er steget dramatisk. I sidste uge blev tre gange så mange opsagt som ugen før. Nordea venter en arbejdsløshed på 10 pct. til sommer.
Uddrag fra Nordea:
Sweden Macro Flash: Swiftly increasing layoffs
Last week, 6 270 workers received notice of layoffs, which was three times higher than the week before. The inflow to unemployment remains high, suggesting unemployment above 10 percent this summer.
Newly registered unemployed was roughly unchanged at 13 000 last week. However, the inflow is still high and indicates that unemployment could go above 10 percent this summer.
The number of workers who received a redundancy notice jumped up to 6 270 last week. Since March 1, almost 70 000 workers have been given notice. In addition, 300 000 workers had been granted temporary furloughs. In some regions, almost 10 percent of all workers have either received a notice of layoffs or are already on part-time leave.
All in all, unemployment is rising swiftly. It is especially worrisome that the number of redundancy notices increase again. At least partly, this could be due to firms making some of the temporary layoffs permanent in response to the weak global outlook. There is a huge risk that more firms follow in the coming weeks.
Details, Swedish Public Employment Services, Week 18:
Redundancy notices: 6 270 (prior 2 800)
Newly registered unemployed: 13 000 (prior 13 600)
Unemployed (total) y/y: data delayed (prior 76k)
