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Tolv grafer om sur markedsstemning: Stresset VIX, Extreme Fear, Bitcoin, NAS efterslæb osv

Morten W. Langer

fredag 14. november 2025 kl. 7:22

THE puke
Small cap tech in full crash mode. The index has collapsed below the 50 and the 100 day in 2 sessions. This is rare in index land.
LSEG Workspace
Stressed
The VIX spike today was “decent”, although we are seeing much less panic compared to the mid October period. The absence of panic is due to the fact investors are de-grossing risk, and not chasing panic hedges.
LSEG Workspace
Hello old friend
Extreme fear is back.
CNN
Have fun staying poor
BTC takes out the 100k level, and looks to be breaking below the longer term trend line. Note the death cross (50/200) is close to kicking in.
LSEG Workspace
The BTC vs NDX gap
We continue to be wary of the BTC vs NDX gap. Last time BTC traded here, the NDX was at early May levels….way lower.
LSEG Workspace
Follow the crap?
At least some rationality is back….the crap part of the market is imploding. The question is if SPX will follow? Chart shows SPX vs most shorted.
LSEG Workspace
That ORCL warning
Can we still dismiss it, or something to worry about?
LSEG Workspace
Negative gamma
Dealers running rather big short gamma in SPX here. Expect more sell low, buy high behavior.
Nomura
Synthetic short gamma
The explosion of leveraged ETFs comes with “synthetic short gamma”. The rebalance flow needs are huge…and they work both ways.
Nomura
VIX dealers
Dealers entering “juicy” short gamma in VIX.
Nomura
Nomura
Parabolic?
The company was founded in 2015 as a nonprofit with $1 billion in funding. In 2019, Microsoft invested $1 billion in OpenAI under a multi-year partnership to build AI supercomputing technologies. By the ChatGPT launch in November 2022, the company was already worth ~$20 billion. Between November 2022 and March 2025, its valuation has surged +1,400%, to ~$300 billion. Today, the company’s valuation is estimated at $500 billion, TRIPLING over the last 12 months.

Full read on AI being parabolic or not from earlier today here.

Reuters
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