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Gassen gik hurtigt ud af Bidens stimuliplan på 1900 milliarder dollar

Hugo Gaarden

fredag 15. januar 2021 kl. 9:05

Joe Bidens stimuliplan på 1900 milliarder dollar gav umiddelbart stigninger på aktiemarkedet. Planen har samme størrelse som planen i foråret. Men da det asiatiske marked åbnede, og da der er fundet nye virustilfælde i Kina, fører det til skepsis, og aktierne faldt. Kommentater fra aktiemarkedet lyder, at Bidens program er nødvendigt, men hvem skal senere hen betale? Kommer der skattestigninger? Har aktiemarkedet inkalkuleret udgifterne til programmet og det faktum, at coronakrisen ser ud til at blive værre? Fed-formanden Powell har forsøgt at berolige markedet ved at sige, at der ikke kommer rentestigninger, og at centralbankens opkøb vil fortsætte. 

Uddrag fra Fidelity/Reuters:

GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares turn lower as recovery concerns resurface

Asian shares stumbled lower in afternoon trade on Friday, reversing earlier gains as rising COVID-19 cases in China reinforced investor concerns over the prospects for a global economic recovery.

European bourses were set to open lower. Pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures dropped 0.66% in early trade, while German DAX futures lost 0.65% and FTSE futures dipped 0.35%.

Earlier on Friday, an Asian regional share index had edged near record highs after U.S. President-elect Joe Biden proposed a $1.9 trillion stimulus plan to jump-start the world’s largest economy and accelerate its response to COVID-19.

In prime-time remarks, Biden outlined a proposal that includes $415 billion aimed at the COVID-19 response, some $1 trillion in direct relief to households, and roughly $440 billion for small businesses and communities hard hit by the pandemic.

But that initial boost faded by the afternoon as risk appetite waned, lifting bond prices and the dollar, and hitting regional equities.

“When you get to these lofty levels, what does it need to take (the market) higher again?” said Stephen Innes, chief global markets strategist at Axi.

“Ultimately, the market has excelled itself. I’m not saying it’s gotten too far over its skis, I don’t think it has, but I think the expectations for economic repricing are quite dramatic … (we’re) back again to the lack of economic conviction.”

Global stocks had initially firmed on Thursday on a report that the stimulus package could be as big as $2 trillion, much more than markets were expecting.

Biden’s comments came after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a dovish tone in comments at a virtual symposium with Princeton University.

Powell said the U.S. central bank is not raising interest rates anytime soon and rejected suggestions the Fed might start reducing its bond purchases in the near term.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was last down 0.59%.

Chinese blue-chips shed 0.97% amid worries over rising COVID-19 cases in China, and after the Chinese central bank drained liquidity from the country’s banking system, suggesting a tightening bias in monetary policy.

More than 28 million people are under lockdown in China. On Friday it reported the highest number of new COVID-19 cases in more than 10 months.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.29% and Australia’s ASX 200 was flat, while Japan’s Nikkei lost 0.65% after touching three-decade highs in the previous session.

The falls in Asia echoed a late dip on Wall Street on Thursday. While U.S. stocks spent most of the trading session in positive territory, helped by the stimulus hopes, concerns over the cost of the package led to a modest decline toward the end of Wall Street trade.

S&P 500 e-mini futures shed 0.61% to 3,768.

“The concern is what it’s going to mean from a tax stand point,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York.

“Spending is easy to do but the question is how are you going to pay for it? Markets often ignore politics but they don’t often ignore taxes.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.22%, the S&P 500 lost 0.38%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.12%.

U.S. yields stepped back as risk appetite waned. Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes yielded 1.1005%, down from a U.S. close of 1.129% on Thursday, while the 30-year yield dipped to 1.8409% from 1.874%.

 

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