Ifølge en prognose fra Goldman Sachs kommer den amerikanske beskæftigelse ikke op på det normale niveau. Efter det store dyk ved pandemiens start, har beskæftigelsen rettet sig, men strukturelle tendenser og frivillig exit fra arbejdsmarkedet betyder, at beskæftigelsen vedvarende vil ligge på et lavere niveau end hidtil.
People Pulse
While a recovery in US unemployment points to a tight labor market, the labor force participation rate remains 1.2pp below trend. We believe participation will continue to recover as COVID-19 risks and financial cushions subside in 2022. However, we expect the rate to remain below trend given structural factors and voluntary exits, which may not reflect a shortfall in max employment.
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research and Indeed Hiring Lab.
