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Bloomberg: Udsigt til solid vækst i Europa

Morten W. Langer

lørdag 14. februar 2015 kl. 8:22

(Bloomberg) — The euro-area economy picked up momentum at the end of last year, with Germany reasserting itself as the driver of growth, offsetting weakness in Greece and Italy.

Gross domestic product rose 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter after expanding 0.2 percent in the previous three months, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said Friday. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News predicted growth of 0.2 percent. The Greek economy unexpectedly shrank 0.2 percent.

While the currency bloc’s economy is overcoming its longest-ever slump, falling consumer prices and the rise to power of an anti-austerity party in Greece have increased the risks to growth. To avert deflation in a region where consumer spending is bolstering the recovery, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi announced a 1.1 trillion-euro ($1.3 trillion) quantitative-easing package that has already pushed down bond yields and the single currency.

“For the first time in two years, we can say that the region is going for solid growth,” said Anna Maria Grimaldi, an economist at Intesa Sanpaolo SpA in Milan. “The euro area is supported by the very strong tailwinds of the fall of the euro, the fall of oil prices and the fall of interest rates sparked by ECB QE.”

The euro remained higher after the report and traded at $1.1413 at 12:10 p.m. Frankfurt time. Germany’s benchmark DAX index, which broke through 11,000 for the first time earlier on Friday, was up 0.5 percent.

The German economy, the region’s largest, expanded 0.7 percent in the fourth quarter, more than twice as much as forecast, while French growth slowed in line with economists projections. The Greek economy shrank after three quarters of growth, and Italy’s stagnated after two consecutive quarters of contraction. Growth in Portugal and the Netherlands was 0.5 percent, more than analysts anticipated.

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