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PMI Rusland: Russisk erhvervsliv på vej mod bedring

Morten W. Langer

torsdag 01. oktober 2015 kl. 10:50

PMI for Rusland – læs helemeddelelsen her:

Russia’s manufacturing sector recorded only a marginal deterioration in operating conditions during September as output and new orders both recorded negligible growth. However, excess capacity remained prevalent, leading to further job cuts, while price pressures continued to intensify due to a lower value of the rouble against other major international currencies.

The seasonally adjusted Markit Russia Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI® ) – a composite indicator designed to measure the performance of the manufacturing economy – remained below the 50.0-no change mark in September, extending the current run of contraction to 10 months. However, rising to 49.1, from August’s 47.9, the index signalled only a marginal deterioration in operating conditions that was the slowest recorded by the survey since February.

Contributing to the rise in the PMI in September were improved trends in output and new orders, following a period of contraction. In particular, the intermediate goods sector performed well, recording rises in both output and new work. There were reports from the survey panel that domestic demand had firmed over the month and was a key support to production and order books. Some manufacturers commented that the economy was adapting to adverse dollar and euro exchange rates, with import substitution amongst local clients leading to greater demand for domestically produced goods.

International demand, in contrast, continued to deteriorate, as highlighted by a fall in new export orders for a twenty-fifth successive month. The rate of contraction was again solid, but nonetheless the slowest since June. Exchange rate factors were also keenly felt by Russian manufacturers in terms of input costs during September.

A weak rouble was by far the most dominant reason behind the sharpest rise in input costs since February. Manufacturers responded by increasing their own charges to the greatest degree in half a year. The recent underlying softness in production and new orders led Russian manufacturers to make further cuts to their staffing levels in September.

Jobs have been lost in the sector continuously for more than two years, and the latest fall was at a pace unchanged on August’s three-month peak. Excess capacity remained a factor behind job losses as highlighted by another sharp fall in backlogs of work

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